Swinburne's Probability Argument
Richard Swinburne's modern refinement of the Design Argument, proposing that the existence of a universe exhibiting order and fine-tuning is more probable if God exists than if God does not exist. He uses Bayesian probability to argue that design is the best explanation for cosmic order.
Real World
Scientists at CERN discovered that if the Higgs boson mass differed by a tiny fraction, stable atoms could never form. Swinburne argues this kind of precise fine-tuning is far more probable under the hypothesis of an intelligent designer than under blind chance alone.
Exam Focus
Link Swinburne explicitly to Bayesian reasoning — stating 'probability' without explaining the method loses marks on evaluation questions.
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